Immediately following the convincing victory of Republican Donald Trump in the U.S. elections, where one of the politician's key promises was to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours, discussions began circulating in political circles regarding what the so-called "peace" plan of the upcoming 47th president of America might entail. Journalists have uncovered that the fundamental points of this plan could include Ukraine's renouncement of NATO membership ambitions, as well as the "freezing" of the military conflict along the current frontline. At the same time, Kyiv would continue to receive assistance from the U.S. to deter Russia, but it remains unclear whether this support would come without prior agreement to essentially accept ultimatums.
Such details regarding a swift resolution to the war in Ukraine were shared in the publication The Wall Street Journal. It is anticipated that to achieve the points of Trump's "peace plan," he will need to engage in discussions with both Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian leader Vladimir Putin.
The article notes that the two main points for ending the war in Ukraine would involve: first, Ukraine's renunciation of intentions to join NATO. This renunciation is expected to be on a long-term basis, spanning two decades. This means that for 20 years, Kyiv should not seek to join the North Atlantic Alliance. If Ukraine agrees to "forget" about its NATO ambitions, the U.S. will support its armament for protection against new Russian aggression.
Second, the war must cease along the current frontline, which essentially means its "freezing." There is mention of a so-called "demilitarized zone," but without clarity on who will control it and how.
"We can conduct training and provide other support, but the barrel of the gun will be European. We are not sending American men and women to support peace in Ukraine. And we will not pay for it. Let the Poles, Germans, Brits, and French handle it," stated a member of Trump's team.
At the same time, journalists speculate about alternative scenarios. For instance, Kyiv may receive weapons for deterrence against Russia only after agreeing to the aforementioned points. The Wall Street Journal emphasizes that it is currently unknown which strategy Trump will choose, but they all agree on one thing - implementing any of them will be challenging due to the differing perspectives of Kyiv and Moscow.
Ukrainian experts predict various scenarios regarding how U.S. support may evolve once Trump officially becomes president. Some forecast dire, apocalyptic consequences for Kyiv, while others suggest that Trump may be more decisive than the Democrats, potentially resolving the war quickly and with minimal painful losses for Ukraine. The informant explored how U.S. policy might change in the next six months and whether the war in Ukraine will truly come to an end.